Farmers’ Almanac Predictions

Todd Simcox

Updated 5 years ago

”So right pretty much at the beginning, it was important to predict weather for farmers but today it’s probably even more important because we’re so mobile, we’re always going different places and we’re planning so far in advance.””I think since about 1820 or so, we’ve been doing the weather and doing it with a great deal of consistency because you’ve had only 8 people that have done weather in 193 years.”That’s an average of about 24 years per person predicting the weather for the Farmers’ Almanac… obviously, a very dedicated group. Its hard enough just forecasting the weather a couple days ahead, but the Farmers’ Almanac sticks their neck out using a secret but trusted formula to predict the weather two years in advance.”David Young, our first editor, was a calculator, mathematician, and astronomer, and so he developed a formula that was applied to sun-spot activity, planet positions, effect the moon has on the earth, and that allowed him and allowed us to do our weather two years in advance…””No they’re not meteorologists. I think they’re calculators. They can put together the formula and come up with what we need to have.”The end result is a year-long weather forecast for seven different regions of the United States…Geiger says the accuracy rating is somewhere around 80 percent.”I had a meteorologist in Philadelphia one time on television who was tracking his weather and my weather for three months, or my father’s weather at the time, but tracking it for three months, and his was the night before weather and ours was two years in advance. At the end of the three months, he was 78 percent right and we were 76 percent right.”The Farmers’ Almanac received a lot of press this past summer after putting that accuracy to the test with their rainy and cool forecast for New England.”This springtime at the end of June, a local reporter called me and said, ‘what do you have to say for yourself?’ I said… well… I’m sorry. And she says, ‘what do you mean you’re sorry?’ Well, I’m sorry I’m so right because all of July is going to be just like all of June.”With the winter months approaching, Peter says the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a cold and snowy winter for Mainers.”We’re talking about some snow some part, the latter part of November and December maybe 2 or 3 storms, then January and February being the big storm months which is probably no surprise but very specifically, we’ll talk about when there’s some heavy snowfall and we talk about march having some snow and maybe some flooding. So to me, that means there should be some real accumulation of snow this winter.”


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